Trump's Davos Speech keeps rally alive and may open door to SPY 620! Trade ideas for Jan 24, 2025
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Good morning traders !
Trump gave a tremendous speech yesterday that seems to have inspired bidders. My first inclination after the speech was to go short, but dips held and that SPY 506.80 level never broke. This got me thinking we could squeeze, when the break down failed to materialize. I started scooping long in the last 15 minutes for same day and swings overnight.
Overall I believe the speech has opened the door to seeing SPY 620 in February.
Yesterday was a bit tough because the action was so choppy. This where I told THT PRO members that I thing we could get a breakout in afternoon, and to wait for the range break.
If you waited for that range break…. to go long, it paid off!
I over traded a bit thinking that after Trump’s speech we may break down and so I made short bets and long bets in the last hour so which every we moved I would get paid. The key was once it was clear we were going to break high of day, I started loading up for upside and add more after the breakout happen on laggards.
This let me take 6105c for $1-$2 and $6110c for 0.80 because I was 90% sure we would be able to sell fro $5-10!. 6105 closed at $13 and 6110c closed at $8!!!
Thursday Highlights
SPY - Had weak open but reclaimed trend once 606.80 was cleared. Broke
TSLA - Reports next week. Sub 410 continues to be bought.
NFLX - The thesis to scoop long at 950 was spot on. Ran to 986 level and should see 990+ today.
Friday Premarket Highlights
SPY 0.00%↑ - gapping down a little bit, ideally gets weak open for first hour and then makes new highs by the close.
TWLO 0.00%↑ - released preliminary results.
NVO 0.00%↑ - Drug trial results win suggesting its weight loss drug can be better than what is already on market.
NFLX 0.00%↑ - tested 990 in premarket, could test 1000 by end of day. we are in 990c from $3 yesterday.
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What is Two Hour Trading?
Two Hour Trading is my system for finding and executing trades while spending less than two hours a day trading. My goal is to earn 100-300% on the capital I risk while waiting for 1000%+ gain trades to set up. Key benefits include:
High-quality trades with excellent reward vs. risk
Avoiding overtrading and losses from it
Trading to win vs. trading not to lose
Stacking the deck in your favor
2025 Q1 Alert Leaderboard
Here's a look at some of the potential gains achieved through our entry alerts:
Intraday Alerts
2024-01-02 SPX 5880p 11 to 40+
2024-01-02 SPX 5820p $2 to 10
2024-01-03 SPX 5930c $2, dipped to $3 and ran to $11
2024-01-06 SPX 5980p $1.70 → $20 ($1700 to $20k potential)
2024-01-07 SPX 5900p $0.50 → $11 ($500 to $11000 potential)
2024-01-07 SPX 5930p $5 → $17.4 ($5000 to $17400 potential)
2024-01-07 SPX 5930p $5 → $40 ($500 to $4000 potential)
2024-01-08 SPX 5800p 1/10 $4 → $10 ($400 to $1000 potential)
2024-01-10 SPX 5800p 1/10 $4 → $10 ($400 to $1000 potential)
2024-01-13 SPX 5820c $5 → $10 ($400 to $1000 potential) **Round 1
2024-01-13 SPX 5820c $2.80 → $16 ($400 to $1000 potential) ** Round 2
2024-01-13 SPX 5820c $4.50 → $16 ($400 to $1000 potential)** Round 3
2024-01-14 SPX 5870c $0.75 → $3.75 ($750 to $3750 potential)
2024-01-14 TSLA 430c $0.75 → $3.75 ($750 to $3750 potential)
2024-01-15 SPX 5950c $9 → $14 ($9000 to $14000 potential)
2024-01-15 GS 610c $2 → $4.50 ($2000 to $4500 potential)
2024-01-15 TSLA 430c $3-4 → $8.20 ($3500 to $8200 potential)
2024-01-15 QQQ 514p $0.8 → $1.82 ($8000 to $18200 potential)
2024-01-16 AAPL 235p $0.7 → $7 ($700 to $7000 potential)
2024-01-16 SPX 5980c $7 → $12 ($700 to $1200 potential)
2024-01-16 SPX 5970c $2 → $5 ($2000 to $5000 potential)
2024-01-16 SPX 5970c $2 → $5 ($2000 to $5000 potential)
2024-01-17 SPX 6000c $8 → $17.2 ($8000 to $17200 potential)
2024-01-17 TSLA 430c $2 → 5.20 ($2000 to $5200 potential)** Round 1
2024-01-17 TSLA 430c $2.30 → 9.9 ($2000 to $9900 potential)** Round 2
2025-01-17 SPX 6000p $0.50 → $5 ($500 to $5000 potential)
2025-01-17 SPX 6020c $0.50 → $0.30 ($500 to $300 stopped.) ** was a combo trade with the 6000p
2025-01-21 SPX 6035c $5→ $15 ($5000 to $15000 potenital.)
2025-01-21 TSLA 440c $2.90→ $5.30 ($2900 to $5300 potenttal.) **dipped to 2.58. alerted 2.50 entry wanted.
2025-01-22 NFLX 950p $3.25→ $10.60 ($3250 to $10600 potenital.)
2025-01-22 SPX 6090p $1→ $5.80 ($1000 to $5800 potenital.) **dipped to 0.65
2025-01-23 SPX 6110c $0.80→ $8.60 ($800 to $8600 potential)
Swing Alerts
2024-01-13 TSLA 430c $1.30 → 8.82 ($1300 to $8820 potential) **alerted exits at 6.50 and 8
2024-01-15 GS 610c $2 → 8 ** exit on 1/16
2024-01-15 GS 610 $2 → $16 ** missed reload on dips. exit on 1/17
2025-01-16 SPX 6000c 1/17 $3 → 17.20 ** dipped to $2 on Thursday, exit majority at $12.
2025-01-21 SPX 6070c 1/17 $6.50 → 30+. *exit on 1/22
2025-01-21 AVGO 242.50c 1/24 $2.50 → 6 *exit on 1/22
2025-01-21 ORCL 180c 1/31 $2 → 11 *exit on 1/22
2025-01-22 NVDA 145p 0.75 → $2 *exit on 1/23
2025-01-23 ORCL 190c 1/31 $2 → ?
Credit Sell Alerts
2024-01-14 SPX 5800/5795 bull puts for 1.50-2.50. $2000 credit potential using 10 contracts and $1000 risk.
2024-01-15 SPX 5950/5955 bear calls for $2→0. $2000-4200 credit potential. Round 1 dipped to 0.75. Round 2 ran to $4.20 and then dropped to 0.
2024-01-16 SPX 5950/5955 bear calls for $2→0. $2000-3000 credit potential. Round 1 dipped to 0.75. Round 2 ran to $3 and then dropped to 0. ** not a typo, same play paid.
2024-01-16 SPX 6020/6025 bear calls for 3.50 ** DID NOT FILL. (the 1.50 at time of alert went to 0)
2024-01-21 SPX 6035/6050 bear calls for 2 stopped 2.50
**Past Performance is not indicative of future results
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Trade Recap for Thu Jan 23
GOLD BOLD ITALIC = price action signal
WHITE REGULAR = action to take/taken
GREEN REGULAR = trades I should have taken
SPY / SPX
Range break came in last 15 minutes and it paid. notice how we got close the the 6120 level. Use the levels to help you target and define your risk/reward!
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Education - How to Join a Strong Trend
The process I typically follow for joining a strong trend are as follows:
All day grinder: join on dips to 20ma
Multi-day grinder:
Join either on support test of morning lows/failed breakdown reversal
Join at vwap mid day or end of day
Keep it simple. Don’t chase, wait for support levels for great risk/reward entries!
Education - Systematic Profit Taking
How do I take profits? I keep it relatively simple. Depending on the entry and range to the next levels I typically with take profits 50-100% of my profits at 3-10R and then raise stops to above entry with a goal of letting runners take me to the next level or 2 and to then reload if I believe we are consolidating before the next leg.
I then repeat the same process on the reload.
Let me know in the comments if you have questions or would like to see examples, I’ll share them.
Trade Ideas - Plan for Fri Jan 24
Stick to process. The process and trade setups I teach works. Rinse and repeat over and over again. There will be losses. Any good system will have them. Being systematic also means the gains will repeat and come again too. If you keep changing your system/process trying in an effort to never lose a trade, you will never get to where you want to go.
Ideas
Wow, was up most of the night coding/fixing problems in the backend. hopefully today the playbook scanner and data collection services will work without problem.
Overall want dips to get long