Monday was amazing. Did you also get trades ranging from 100%-1000% gains? - Trade Ideas for June 25, 2024
We nailed shorts in $SMCI, $NVDA, $TSLA, and $SPX. Learn the trade setups we used in today's blog
Good morning traders. Monday provided clean trade setups. In today’s blog I’ll review the logic for the high probability trades I alerted and then talk about trade ideas for today.
Remember you only need 1 to 2 great trades, and on Monday we had over 4!
Quick Recap (all trades provided 3R-10R):
TSLA 185p: $2.60—>$4.60. Trade Setup: 2 Level Gap Up Reversal
SMCI 800p: $8.50 → $19.50. Trade Setup: Level Backtest and Trend Continuation
NVDA 120p: $2.50 risk 0.15 → $4+. Trade Setup: Level Backtest and Trend Continuation
SPX 4960p: $1 → $11. Trade Setup: Spectre Special Yolo
Introduction (for New Readers)
Welcome to my blog on Two Hour Trading, your daily source for market insights and trading opportunities. In this blog, I will provide you with a comprehensive analysis of the market, educational lessons, and trade ideas to help you stay ahead in your trading journey and best of all doing it less than two hours a day.
What Subscribers Get
Subscribers to this blog will receive daily updates on market analysis, educational content, and up to three trade ideas each morning, all based on real-life examples and my personal approach to trading.
NOTE: screenshots from chat are from Edge Trade Planner. A platform available to THT PRO members. Join Us for live commentary and planning. Note my goal is to actively trade less than 2 hours a day finding 1 to 4 great trades a day.
What is Two Hour Trading?
It’s my system for finding and executing trades while spending less than two hours a day trading. My goal is to earn 100-300% on the capital I risk while waiting for 1000%+ gain trades to setup. Key benefits:
High Quality trades with great reward vs risk
Avoid Overtrading and losses from it
Trading to Win vs Trading to Not Lose
Stacking the deck in your favor
2024 Alert Leaderboard
(I’ve decided to include a leaderboard so you can see what potential the 2 Hour Trading System has)
The following is based on entry alerts.
June 25 - SPX 4460p $1 —> ($1000—> $12000 potential)
June 20 - NVDA 135p $0.75 —> ($750—> $5000 potential)
June 20 - SPX 4480p $1.50 —> ($1500—> $10000 potential)
June 20 - SPX 4475p $0.50 —> ($500—> $5000 potential)
June 13 - SMCI 820c $10 stops $5 —> ($1000—> $6200 potential)
June 13 - SMCI 900c $2.50 stops $1.25 —> ($2500—> $13000 potential)
June 13 - AVGO 1650p $5 stops $3 —> ($5000—> $22500 potential)
June 12 - SPX puts on SPY 544 reject —> SPX 5220p went from $1 to $12
June 12 - AAPL 220c $0.85 —> ($850 —> $2800 potential)
June 11 - AAPL 200c $1.50 —> ($1500 —> $7500 potential —> $20000 if swung)
June 11 - AAPL 205c 6/21 $1 (swing) —> ($1000 -$6000 —> $15000 if swung)
June 11 - SPX 5360c $2.50 —> ($2500 —> $15000 potential)
June 10 - SPX 5350c $4.20 —> ($4200 —> $16000 potential)
June 6 - NVDA 1220c $12 —> ($1200 —> $2100 potential)
June 5- SPX 5350c 0.30 —> ($3000 —> $45000 potential)
June 5 - META 490c $3 —> ($3000 —> $9500 potential)
June 4 - SPX 5290/95 bear calls $1.80 —> ($1500 credit potential, $1000 if held to close)
June 3 - SPX 5280p $5 —> ($500 —> $4500 potential)
May 22 - SPX 5280p $0.10 —> ($1000 —> $43000 potential)
May 22 - SPX 5300p $0.50 —> ($500 —> $15000 potential)
May 21 - SPX 5320c $0.50 (alert: 0.25 target $2-5) —> ($500 —> $6000 potential)
May 21 - SMCI 1000c $9.25 Swing (entry day before) —> ($925 —> $2100 potential)
May 17 - AMD 170c $0.20 Swing (entry day before) —> ($200 —> $1500 potential)
May 16 - SPX 5300p $0.20 Round 3 —> ($200 —> $2800 potential)
May 16 - SPX 5300p $0.50 Round 2 —> ($500 —> $2600 potential)
May 16 - SPX 5300p $1 Round 1 —> ($1000 —> $5000 potential)
May 15 - SMCI 850c $12 —> ($1200 —> $10000 potential)
May 14 - SPX 5240c $0.50 —> ($500 —> $10600 potential)
May 14 - SPX 5230/5225 bull puts $4 —> ($4000 premium potential)
May 14 - SPX 5245c $0.20 —> ($200 —> $6000 potential)
May 14 - SPX 5240c $0.50 —> ($500 —> $10600 potential)
May 14 - SPX 5230/5225 bull puts $4 —> ($4000 premium potential)
May 13 - SPX 5220/5215 bull puts $2.50 —> ($2500 premium potential)
May 13 - TSLA 170p $1.90 —> ($1900 —> $2890 potential)
May 10 - AMD 162.50p $0.25 (0.25 entry) —> ($250 —> $1600 potential)
May 9 - SPX 5210c $1.25 (1-1.50 entry) —> ($1250 —> $6200 potential)
May 9 - SPX 5220c $0.20 —> ($200 —> $1100 potential)
May 9 - SPX 5200c $3 —> ($3000 —> 15800 potential) (dipped to 2.20)
May 8 - SPX 5200/5205 bear calls $1.20 —> ($1200 premium potential)
May 8 - SPX 5190/5195 bear calls $1.50 —> ($1500 premium potential)
May 8 - SPX 5180c $4 —> ($400—> $1100 potential)
May 7 - SPX 5190c $1 —> ($1000—> $4000 potential)
May 7 - SPX 5190c $1 —> ($1000—> $4000 potential)
May 7 - DIS 105p $0.40 —> ($400—> $1600 potential)
May 6 - SPX 5170c $3 —> ($300—> $1100 potential)
May 6 - SPX 5175c $0.40 —> ($400 —>$7000 potential)
May 3 - SPX 5150/5155 bear calls $1.50 —> ($1500 premium potential)
May 2 - SPX 5020p $7 —> ($700 → $2180 potential)
May 2 - SPX 5070c $1.20 —> ($1500 → $7200 potential)
May 2 - SPX 5070c $3—> ($3000 → $7200 potential)
Apr 30 - SPX 5080p $3 —> ($3000 → $45000 potential)
Apr 23 - SPX 5060/5055 bull puts - Entry $1.75 ($1750 premium potential) drawdown < $200
Apr 22 - SPX 5050c swing - $5.50 → ($5500 → $42000 potential)
Apr 22 - SPX 5000c - $3.20 → ($3200 → $39000 potential)
Apr 22 - SPX 5020c - $0.20 alert, dipped to 0.55, fill at $0.70 → ($700 → $20000 potential)
Apr 19 - SMCI 750p - $1.50 → ($1500 → $38k+ potential)
Apr 19 - NVDA 800p - Entry $0.5 ($500→$40k potential)
Apr 18 - SPX 5050c - Entry $6 ($6000→$16000 potential)
Apr 18 - SPX 5020p - Entry $4 ($5000→$20000 potential)
Apr 16 - SPX 5140/5135 bull puts - Entry $2.50 ($2500 premium potential) drawdown < $300
Apr 12 - SPX 5100p $1. (dipped to 1.30) - Entry $2 ($2500 premium potential)
Apr 11 - SPX 5180/5185 bear calls - Entry $2.50 ($2500 premium potential)
Apr 10 - SPX 5180/5185 bear calls - Entry $2.50 ($2500 premium potential)
Apr 10 - SPX 5170c - Entry 0.50 ($500 → $5000 potential)
Apr 9 - SPX 5185/5180 bull puts - Entry $3 ($3000 premium potential)
Apr 9 - SPX 5205c - Entry $0.50 ($500→ $6000 potential)
Apr 8 - SPX 5225/5230 bear calls - Entry $1.20 ($1200 premium potential)
Apr 8 - SPX 5200/5195 bear puts - Entry $0.10 ($1000→ $8000 potential)
Apr 4 - SPX 5250p - Entry $4 ($4000→ $100k potential)
Apr 4 - SPX 5180p - Entry $1.30 ($1300 > $32k potential)
Apr 3 - SPX 5175/5170 bull put - Entry $1.50 ($1500 premium potential)
Apr 2 - SPX 5175/5170 bull put - Entry $1.50 ($1500 premium potential)
Apr 2 - SPX 5205/5200 bull put - Entry $1.50 ($1500 premium potential)
**Past Performance is not indicative of future results
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Tuesday’s Price Action (Education)
You don't try to make $100,000 ...You don’t start by saying, I’m going to make the biggest most profitable trade and turn $1000 into $100,000 and fix all my bad trades before.
You say, I’m going to plan and execute 1 trade as perfectly as I can today. You do that every single day, and soon you'll have a $100,000 and likely much more!
Please note all times are Eastern/New York regardless of what time zone I happen to be in.
SPY / SPX
Yesterday I wrote watch for 546 to get rejected. I’m glad I waited until the afternoon to trade SPY because I missed the morning long on the failed breakdown and rip into 547. How does one. read this price action? Overall it’s tricky. Following the rule for waiting after the first hour there was a bounce of vwap, then the open was tested and then SPY based over vwap and mostly over 546 for 2 hours. Based on that one has to wait for a range break, but you can see how during the two hours SPY was make slightly lower highs. I train at the gym most day between 12pm to 1pm and so I missed the 12:45pm entry on vwap break. That is ok! Instead I planned. I decided that I believed we would flush into 542 by the close! I call this the Spectre Special Yolo. THT PRO members have seen my last hour targeting pay 1000-2000% and yesterday was no different!
SPX 5460p dipped to 0.90 and we looked for SPY to…
If you missed the entry at $1. there was plenty of time to get in for 1.50-$2!
Here is what the option contract did from where I gave the idea.
NVDA
This was tricky. Normally after first hour I look for gap down reversal, but given the recent rally and trend, I choose too believe we had all day seller on our hands. I mised the entry on 123 area for a short so I waited for first hour to complete. During this we saw 122 break, and then saw it get back tested. Notice how it gave a second pop that turned into a failed push as it got close to 122. As soon as price got below the previous high, that was my trigger to load up and jump in.
Because it was Monday I choose OTM contracts. Here is what the 115p did. Nice 100% gainer in 15-30 minutes! or risking 0.20. a 5R trade!
I also chose 120p and because the stops was so tight this gave a 10R result.
The 120p spiked to over $4.20!
SMCI
On Friday 876 stablished itself as support so on Monday when it broke, I immediately became bearish. We want to join trend. So during first 15 minutes 876 was tested and then a little later we got 870 / vwap back tested. That was my goal for entry. I started in at 9.50 and got an 8.50 average.
I used Edge Trade Planner to plan the short on 800p. Why 800? I want out of the money since it is Monday and the contracts will give better yield.
T1 for 4R hit easily. And by end of day T2 hit!
Here is what the 800p did:
TSLA
This was a perfect 2 level gap up reversal trade. I alerted to THT Pro members I want to short 188.50. And we got it perfectly.
Here is what the 185puts did. Following process we locked some in at 185 and the rest in at 183 for the gap fill!
Ideas - Plan for Tuesday June 25
Stick to process. The process and trade setups I teach works. Rinse and repeat over and over again. There will be losses. Any good system will have them. Being systematic also means the gains will repeat and come again too. If you keep changing your system/process trying in an effort to never lose a trade, you will never get to where you want to go.
Ideas
Give the gap up this morning after tagging lows and levels below in premarket, I’m inclined to believe today will choppy and we can move in either direction out of range with a bullish bias. So I will essentially be patient and probably look for just 1 or 2 solid trade setups and call it a day. I def want to avoid over trading today!