Do we get 2nd Green day? Trade Ideas for Mon Mar 17, 2025
Are you averaging 300-500%+ on your trades in this elevated volatility? If not, join THT PRO.
The last time SPY had 2 green days in a row was Feb 19 2025!. Almost 4 straight weeks of selling. Today will be crucial for bulls. If it a 2nd green day comes, it could invite bidders tomorrow.
Do I think we are out of the woods and get back to grinding every week for new all time highs. Not at all. Do I think we can see a dead cat bounce and sideway rangy chop and more downide in coming weeks/months. Definitely possible. I don’t know a single person excited or in a hurry to get back into the market to swing long term.
I do see people jumping in to scalp for any short term rally. That where my head is at too. I’d like to see the $20 of range develop in SPY with back and forth chop in coming weeks. But ideally in a way where we multiple trend days green and red.
That said, if you have been following my process and how I trade, it is much less important for us to predict the long term trend, but focus on catching 2 level moves and if our primary thesis is wrong, being able to smartly flip and join the trend for the other direction can often pay me much more than the primary trend trade. Why? Faster reversal moves when wrong with range. Look at it this way. The normal environment is consolidate and grind, but when over extended, instead of getting continuation, we get reversal. Hope that make sense. It’ why I often hare bull and bear case ideas. It doesn’t matter to me about direction as long as I can plan and execute on a great risk/reward trade.
TRADES
We nailed the long, and shorts and IV finally dropped enough so we could plan 500%+ trades again.
My favorite on Friday, was 5630c for $2 than ran to $15.90. Nailing that $2 dip wa magic! Love getting paid over 500% in under 20 minutes!
Lately the payers have been coming after 1 to 2pm. If you aren’t yet a member of THT PRO or you are but very busy, consider joining us for the last 2 hours of the day. There may not be a trade, and we may go up to bat 2 to 4 times, but when we hit, we hit nice. Consider being process orient. Lose 3 times $1. But on trade 4 you make $10. That i net $7. Losing 3 times sucks. But you have to go up to bet. Think about your favorite athletes. Top performers aren’t hitting 80%+ win rates but guess what we have in some of our better week.
Consider now if you take 4 trade and 2 are 100% gainers 1 is a loser and one is 500% plus? That imho is the sweet spot. You execute per plan every time, with good risk/reward. De risk into spikes, and then when it works you get nice account growth.
We also took 5620c missing from 8→15-17 missing my $18 target by a hair. and then in final 30 minute got a dip to 6 and rip to 25 before settling around 18.
EDGE
I believe I have made the needed bug fixes to the workflow and being able to see the Plan button on ideas. Also ideas you flag as Ignore should be hidden.
With the travel, I was unable to get email alerts working but for now you have badges on the idea and plans tabs showing you how many you haven’t seen.
This week I want to enable entry alerts. when the price action gets near planned entry levels on ideas and prices on plans. When you like an idea or plan it will enable the tracking for you.
This week I’m also hope to enable the Review feature on Ideas and Plans so I can document what happened and include suggestion for improvement. Hoping this will help members learn and improve. They should be able to review their own ideas and plans. Let me know in your comments about the features and your priorities.
What is Two Hour Trading?
Two Hour Trading is my system for finding and executing trades while spending less than two hours a day trading. My goal is to earn 100-300% on the capital I risk while waiting for 1000%+ gain trades to set up. Key benefits include:
High-quality trades with excellent reward vs. risk
Avoiding overtrading and losses from it
Trading to win vs. trading not to lose
Stacking the deck in your favor
2025 Q1 Alert Leaderboard
Here's a look at some of the potential gains achieved through our entry alerts:
Intraday Alerts
2024-01-02 SPX 5880p 11 to 40+
2024-01-02 SPX 5820p $2 to 10
2024-01-03 SPX 5930c $2, dipped to $3 and ran to $11
2024-01-06 SPX 5980p $1.70 → $20 ($1700 to $20k potential)
2024-01-07 SPX 5900p $0.50 → $11 ($500 to $11000 potential)
2024-01-07 SPX 5930p $5 → $17.4 ($5000 to $17400 potential)
2024-01-07 SPX 5930p $5 → $40 ($500 to $4000 potential)
2024-01-08 SPX 5800p 1/10 $4 → $10 ($400 to $1000 potential)
2024-01-10 SPX 5800p 1/10 $4 → $10 ($400 to $1000 potential)
2024-01-13 SPX 5820c $5 → $10 ($400 to $1000 potential) **Round 1
2024-01-13 SPX 5820c $2.80 → $16 ($400 to $1000 potential) ** Round 2
2024-01-13 SPX 5820c $4.50 → $16 ($400 to $1000 potential)** Round 3
2024-01-14 SPX 5870c $0.75 → $3.75 ($750 to $3750 potential)
2024-01-14 TSLA 430c $0.75 → $3.75 ($750 to $3750 potential)
2024-01-15 SPX 5950c $9 → $14 ($9000 to $14000 potential)
2024-01-15 GS 610c $2 → $4.50 ($2000 to $4500 potential)
2024-01-15 TSLA 430c $3-4 → $8.20 ($3500 to $8200 potential)
2024-01-15 QQQ 514p $0.8 → $1.82 ($8000 to $18200 potential)
2024-01-16 AAPL 235p $0.7 → $7 ($700 to $7000 potential)
2024-01-16 SPX 5980c $7 → $12 ($700 to $1200 potential)
2024-01-16 SPX 5970c $2 → $5 ($2000 to $5000 potential)
2024-01-16 SPX 5970c $2 → $5 ($2000 to $5000 potential)
2024-01-17 SPX 6000c $8 → $17.2 ($8000 to $17200 potential)
2024-01-17 TSLA 430c $2 → 5.20 ($2000 to $5200 potential)** Round 1
2024-01-17 TSLA 430c $2.30 → 9.9 ($2000 to $9900 potential)** Round 2
2025-01-17 SPX 6000p $0.50 → $5 ($500 to $5000 potential)
2025-01-17 SPX 6020c $0.50 → $0.30 ($500 to $300 stopped.) ** was a combo trade with the 6000p
2025-01-21 SPX 6035c $5→ $15 ($5000 to $15000 potenital.)
2025-01-21 TSLA 440c $2.90→ $5.30 ($2900 to $5300 potenttal.) **dipped to 2.58. alerted 2.50 entry wanted.
2025-01-22 NFLX 950p $3.25→ $10.60 ($3250 to $10600 potenital.)
2025-01-22 SPX 6090p $1→ $5.80 ($1000 to $5800 potenital.) **dipped to 0.65
2025-01-23 SPX 6110c $0.80→ $8.60 ($800 to $8600 potential)
2025-01-24 SPX 6100p $3.30→ $2.30 (stopped) ** round 1 stopped
2025-01-24 SPX 6100p $1.50→ $12 ($1500 to $12000 potential) ** round 2 we banked
2025-01-24 AAPL 222.50p $0.25→ 0.80 ($2500 → $8000 potential)
2025-01-24 AAPL 222.50p $0.25→ 0.80 ($2500 → $8000 potential)
2025-01-24 AMD 123p $0.10 → 1.72 ($1000 → $17200 potential)
2025-01-27 SPX 5950p $9 → 40 ($900 → $4000 potential) ** premarket trade
2025-01-27 SPX 5950p $1.50 → 3.50 ($1500 → $3500 potential)
2025-01-27 NVDA 117p $1.5 → 5.4 ($1500 → $5400 potential)
2025-01-27 AVGO 200p $1.8 → 9.10 ($1800 → $9100 potential)
2025-01-28 SPX 6040c $8.50 → 33.50 ($8500 → $33500 potential)
2025-01-28 SPX 6080c $0.20 → 2.25 ($3500 → $22500 potential)
2025-01-28 SPX 6070c $0.70 → 6.20 ($7000 → $62000 potential) *Round 1
2025-01-28 SPX 6070c $0.90 → 6.20 ($9000 → $62000 potential) *Round 2
2025-01-29 SPX 6000p $4.50 → 12 ($4500 → $12000 potential)
2025-01-29 SPX 6060c $1.5 → 5.20 ($1500 → $5200 potential)
2025-02-03 SPX 6000c $5.5 → 22 ($5500 → $22000 potential)
2025-02-04 SPX 6030c $5.5 → 16.5 ($5500 → $16500 potential)
2025-02-04 SPX 6030c $4.5 → 14.2 ($4500 → $14200 potential)
2025-02-05 SPX 6060c $0.75 → 3.3 ($750 → $3300 potential) * Round 1
2025-02-05 SPX 6060c $0.40 → 2.25 ($600 → $3375 potential) * Round 2 (I filled at 0.40 and 0.20 - Great Risk/Reward!!!)
2025-02-06 SPX 6080c $0.25 → 5 ($2500 → $50000 potential)
2025-02-06 SPX 6075c $0.70 → 7.50 ($7000 → $75000 potential) ** dipped to 0.50, took 50% off at 1.20 to pay for risk
2025-02-07 SPX 6100c $4 → 12 ($4000 → $12000 potential)
2025-02-11 SPX 6080c $0.40 → 3 ($400 → $3000 potential)
2025-02-12 SPX 6000p - $2.35 —> 5.50 ($134% gain)
2025-02-12 SPX 6060c - $1→$4 (300% gain)
2025-02-12 SPX 6050c - $0.40→$2 (400% gain)
2025-02-13 SPX 6100c - $1→$5 (400% gain) *Round 1
2025-02-13 SPX 6100c - $0.8→$17.5 ($800 —> $17500% potential) * Round 2 with $15 target
2025-02-13 APP 450p - $3→$12 ($600 —> $2400 potential)
2025-02-18 SPX 6100p - $1→$7 ($1000 —> $7000 potential)
2025-02-19 SPX 6130c - $3→$18 ($3000 —> $18000 potential)
2025-02-19 MSFT 417c - $0.30→$2 ($3000 —> $20000 potential)
2025-02-19 SMCI 62c - $1.75→$6.20 ($1750 —> $6200 potential)
2025-02-20 APP 460p - $2→$33 ($2000 —> $33000 potential)
2025-02-20 APP 460p - $2→$33 ($2000 —> $33000 potential)
2025-02-21 SPX 6050p - $2.50→$42 ($2500 —> $42000 potential) ** I got stopped on this and screwed up the execution.
2025-02-24 SPX 6000p - $2.50→$19 ($2500 —> $19000 potential) ** I got stopped after taking some profit multiple times on $4. It then dipped to $1 before running to 19.
2025-02-25 SPX 5950p - $0.50→$5 ($2500 —> $25000 potential) ** took too much off at 1.50 :(
2025-02-25 SPX 5930p - $1.20 → $4.40 ($1200 —> $4400 potential) ** Edge Trade Planner nailed the T1 and T2 targets!
2025-02-25 SPX 5970c - $2.40 → $12.60 ($2400 —> $12600 potential) ** I got greedy on this. Kudos to CG for catching the action in the Option Scanner and saying something.
2025-02-26 SPX 5950p - $1.90 → $21 ($1900 —> $21000 potential)
2025-02-27 SPX 5930p - $3->$66 ($3000 —> $66000 potential)
2025-02-27 SPX 5900p - $2 -> 40 ($2000 —> $40000 potential)
2025-02-27 SPX 5880p - $2->$20 ($2000 —> $20000 potential)
2025-02-27 SPX 5870p - $1->$10 ($1000 —> $10000 potential)
2025-02-28 SPX 5920c - $0.60->$40 ($600 —> $40000 potential)
2025-02-28 SPX 5850p - $0.37->$1.55 ($3700 —> $15500 potential)
2025-03-03 SPX 5880p - $3.80->$62.70 ($3800 —> $62700 potential)
2025-03-03 SPX 5820p - $1->$13 ($1000 —> $13000 potential)
2025-03-03 SPX 5920c - $3.80->$11.20 ($3800 —> $11200 potential)
2025-03-04 SPX 5940c - $2->$24 ($2000 —> $24000 potential) ** My target was 10-15. I was out at 12. mission accomplished.
2025-03-10 SPX 5600p - $4->$32 ($4000 —> $32000 potential) ** Took all day!
2025-03-10 SPX 5620c - $1.8->$15 ($1800 —> $15000 potential) ** My target was 10-15. I was out at 12. mission accomplished.
2025-03-10 SPX 5520p - $3->$12 ($2000 —> $12000 potential) ** Multiple entries with main at 2 and 3 and old majority 6-10
2025-03-14 SPX 5620c - $8->$25 ($8000 —> $25000 potential) ** gave multiple 90-120% gain chances before the run to $25
2025-03-14 SPX 5630c - $2->$15.90 ($2000 —> $15900 potential) ** Perfect call out in last hour for the dip buy and squeeze into close.
Swing Alerts
2024-01-13 TSLA 430c $1.30 → 8.82 ($1300 to $8820 potential) **alerted exits at 6.50 and 8
2024-01-15 GS 610c $2 → 8 ** exit on 1/16
2024-01-15 GS 610 $2 → $16 ** missed reload on dips. exit on 1/17
2025-01-16 SPX 6000c 1/17 $3 → 17.20 ** dipped to $2 on Thursday, exit majority at $12.
2025-01-21 SPX 6070c 1/17 $6.50 → 30+. *exit on 1/22
2025-01-21 AVGO 242.50c 1/24 $2.50 → 6 *exit on 1/22
2025-01-21 ORCL 180c 1/31 $2 → 11 *exit on 1/22
2025-01-22 NVDA 145p 0.75 → $2 *exit on 1/23
2025-01-23 ORCL 190c 1/31 $2 → 3.20 *exit on 1/24
2025-01-27 META 700c 1/31 $7 → ? rare e/r yolo **hope to sell 50% at $14 make it risk free hold into report.
2025-01-27 AVGO 225c 1/31 $0.25 → 2.50 **reached on 1/30 but I didn’t sell and got stopped at 1.50 and reloaded at 0.35-0.40
2025-02-04 AAPL 225p 2/7 $0.59 → 1.1 ** no bids
2025-02-04 NFLX 1000c 2/7 $4.5 → ? ** Locked some in at $10 to make it free
2025-02-05 TSLA 375p 2/7 $3.5 → 10.50 ** nailed it!! exit on 2/6
2025-02-06 SPX 6150 2/7 $1 avg → 0 ** yolo failed
2025-02-06 BABA 103c 2/7 $0.25 → 4.30
2025-02-06 BABA 130c 1/16/26 $9 → ? **leaps targeting 160+
2025-02-06 PLTR 120c 2/14 $0.50 → 3 ** locked 50% for 500% gains and risk free. Goal is $5-10.
2025-02-10 AAPL 235c 2/14 $0.35 → 1.80 and 2.30 on 2/11
2025-02-10 TSLA 330p 2/14 $2.10 → 5.50 and 11 on2/11
2025-02-19 NFLX 1060c 2/21 $1.60 → 3.20 ** locked 50% the rest went to 0
2025-02-19 MSFT 417c - $0.30→$3.50 -* Exit 3.30 ($3000 —> $35000 potential)
2025-02-19 APP 450p - $0.80→$23 -? ($800 —> $23000 potential) ** got stopped at 0.40 and needed to reload on 0.60 reclaim
2025-02-24 PDD 125c 2/28- $1.2→ 0 ** failed
2025-02-25 AAPL 140p 2/28. - $0.50 → 2
2025-02-27 NVDA 125p 2/28. - $1.10 → 7
2025-02-28 NFLX 1110c 3/7 - $4.50 → ?
2025-02-28 TSLA 300c 3/7 - $5.20 → ?
2025-02-28 META 690c 3/7 - $2.50→ ?
2025-02-28 AAPL 242.50c 3/7 - $1.55 →0
On swing trades, I usually with secure any big profits in first 15min and then look to reload later in the day.
Credit Sell Alerts
2024-01-14 SPX 5800/5795 bull puts for 1.50-2.50. $2000 credit potential using 10 contracts and $1000 risk.
2024-01-15 SPX 5950/5955 bear calls for $2→0. $2000-4200 credit potential. Round 1 dipped to 0.75. Round 2 ran to $4.20 and then dropped to 0.
2024-01-16 SPX 5950/5955 bear calls for $2→0. $2000-3000 credit potential. Round 1 dipped to 0.75. Round 2 ran to $3 and then dropped to 0. ** not a typo, same play paid.
2024-01-16 SPX 6020/6025 bear calls for 3.50 ** DID NOT FILL. (the 1.50 at time of alert went to 0)
2024-01-21 SPX 6035/6050 bear calls for 2 stopped 2.50
2024-01-27 SPX 5950/5945 bull puts for 2.50 → 0 **premarket
2024-01-30 SPX 6060/6055 bull puts for 4.50 → 0
2024-02-04 SPX 6050/6055 bear call for 1.20-1.50 → 0
2024-02-05 SPX 6030/6035 bear call for 2.50→3 ** lost 0.50
2024-02-06 SPX 6070/6065 bull puts for 4.20→0
2024-02-10 SPX 6070/6065 bear calls for 2.50→0
2024-02-14 SPX 6100/6095 bull puts for 2 → 0
2024-02-20 SPX 6110/6005 bull puts for 4 → 0 ** alert was for 4.50 entry but it only popped to 4. 3.60 realistic fill.
2024-02-21 SPX 6000/6005 bear calls for 2 → 0
2024-03-11 3SPX 5600p/5595p bull puts for 3.5 → 0
2024-03-13 3SPX 5560p/5565 bear calls for 3.2 → 0
2024-03-14 3SPX 5600/5595 bull puts for 2.5 → 0
**Past Performance is not indicative of future results
For live alerts and market commentary click the button below.
Trade Recap for Fri Mar 14
GOLD BOLD ITALIC = price action signal
WHITE REGULAR = action to take/taken
GREEN REGULAR = trades I should have taken
SPY / SPX
Finally got possible turn but 100% gainers was roughly still the name of the game until last hour.
That last dip, we planned the squeeze with great risk reward hitting 750% potential.
If you are busy and want to see my commentary and ideas in real time consider joining THT-PRO.
Education - How to Join a Strong Trend
The process I typically follow for joining a strong trend are as follows:
All day grinder: join on dips to 20ma
Multi-day grinder:
Join either on support test of morning lows/failed breakdown reversal
Join at vwap mid day or end of day
Keep it simple. Don’t chase, wait for support levels for great risk/reward entries!
Education - Systematic Profit Taking
How do I take profits? I keep it relatively simple. Depending on the entry and range to the next levels I typically with take profits 50-100% of my profits at 3-10R and then raise stops to above entry with a goal of letting runners take me to the next level or 2 and to then reload if I believe we are consolidating before the next leg.
I then repeat the same process on the reload.
Trade Ideas - Plan for Mon Mar 17
Stick to process. The process and trade setups I teach works. Rinse and repeat over and over again. There will be losses. Any good system will have them. Being systematic also means the gains will repeat and come again too. If you keep changing your system/process trying in an effort to never lose a trade, you will never get to where you want to go.
Ideas
Ok guys. Market is gapping up hopefully it doesn’t run without us. Stay focused and patient. With the gap up I don’t plan to open trades until we reach a 4 level move up in the first hour for a short, otherwise want to wait for support after 11am to get long.
Read on for the levels and stock I’m hawking.