Spectre's Two Hour Trading Newsletter

Spectre's Two Hour Trading Newsletter

SPY Traps: Dodge the Breakdown Today - Trade Ideas for Fri Feb 27

Premarket volatility signals failed breakdown opportunities near pivot

Feb 27, 2026
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Done in 30 minutes! 2 Credit sell alerts. 2 winners!

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Lately I’ve been doing the following:

Premarket establish where we likely wont reach. Sell premium for 0.8-0.60 on open.

After 11: second positioning of credit sells.

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SPY Traps: Dodge the Breakdown Today

Premarket volatility signals failed breakdown opportunities near pivot

Market Context

Premarket Peril: Avoid the Fakeout Trap
SPY premarket closed at 684.09 after ranging 682.01-688.97, sitting between pivot 688.7 and S1 683.18. Recent 5-day data shows choppy action with multiple failed breakdowns below 685, followed by reversals on volume spikes. Bias leans range-bound with downside risk to supports unless 688.7 clears; watch for rejection at key levels post-PPI data.

Key Events Today

Catalyst Alert: PPI Could Ignite Reversals

  • 8:30 am - Producer Price Index (Jan) - Actual: 0.5% (Forecast: 0.3%)

  • 8:30 am - Core PPI (Jan) - Actual: 0.3% (Forecast: 0.4%)

  • 8:30 am - PPI YoY - Actual: 2.9% (Previous: 3.0%)

  • 8:30 am - Core PPI YoY - Actual: 3.4% (Previous: 3.5%)

  • 9:45 am - Chicago PMI (Feb) - Previous: 54.0

  • 10:00 am - Construction Spending (Nov/Dec delayed)

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